Key takeaways:
Based on power curve trends, Bitcoin may hit $200,000 in Q4 2025.
Bitcoin follows gold’s price trend with a 100-150 day lag.
Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has rallied 11% this week, its best weekly return in 2025 and its highest seven-day growth since early November 2024. Bitcoin also reached $95,000 on April 25 for the first time since Feb. 24.
Bitcoin 1-week chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
21st Capital co-founder Sina mentioned that Bitcoin reclaimed the power-law price. The power law’s predictive accuracy stems from Bitcoin’s network growth following Metcalfe’s Law, where value scales with the square of users.
Based on Sina’s Bitcoin Quantile Model, reclaiming the power-law price keeps BTC on track to hit a price target of $130,000 and $163,000 before the end of 2025.
Bitcoin Quantile Model by Sina. Source: X.com
As illustrated in the chart, Bitcoin is currently in